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Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, Harris 9781118865071^+

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eBay-objectnummer:125165045138
Laatst bijgewerkt op 15 jun 2023 02:19:47 CESTAlle herzieningen bekijkenAlle herzieningen bekijken

Specificaties

Objectstaat
Nieuw: Een nieuw, ongelezen en ongebruikt boek in perfecte staat waarin geen bladzijden ontbreken of ...
PublishedOn
2015-02-20
Title
Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts
ISBN
9781118865071
EAN
9781118865071
Publication Year
2015
Type
Textbook
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Publication Name
Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts
Item Height
236mm
Author
Maury Harris
Publisher
John Wiley & Sons INC International Concepts
Item Width
155mm
Subject
Economics
Item Weight
604g
Number of Pages
400 Pages

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Product Information

A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book: Provides insights from Maury Harris, named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance. Demonstrates best practices in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts. Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their projections. These valuable procedures can help forecast users evaluate forecasts and forecasters as inputs for making their own specific business and investment decisions. Emphasizes the critical role of judgment in improving projections derived from purely statistical methodologies. Harris explores the prerequisites for sound forecasting judgment?a good sense of history and an understanding of contemporary theoretical frameworks?in readable and illuminating detail. Addresses everyday forecasting issues, including the credibility of government statistics and analyses, fickle consumers, and volatile business spirits. Harris also offers procedural guidelines for special circumstances, such as natural disasters, terrorist threats, gyrating oil and stock prices, and international economic crises. Evaluates major contemporary forecasting issues?including the now commonplace hypothesis of sustained economic sluggishness, possible inflation outcomes in an environment of falling unemployment, and projecting interest rates when central banks implement unprecedented low interest rate and quantitative easing (QE) policies. Brings to life Harris's own experiences and those of other leading economists in his almost four-decade career as a professional economist and forecaster. Dr. Harris presents his personal recipes for long-term credibility and commercial success to anyone offering advice about the future.

Product Identifiers

Publisher
John Wiley & Sons INC International Concepts
ISBN-13
9781118865071
eBay Product ID (ePID)
209571612

Product Key Features

Author
Maury Harris
Publication Name
Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Subject
Economics
Publication Year
2015
Type
Textbook
Number of Pages
400 Pages

Dimensions

Item Height
236mm
Item Width
155mm
Item Weight
604g

Additional Product Features

Title_Author
Maury Harris
Country/Region of Manufacture
United States

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Btw-nummer:
  • GB 724498118
Handelsregistratienummer:
  • 03800600
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